Bet Catalyst

Premium Bets

* Sue Smith has a record in this race of 6 runners, 2 winners and 1 place.

* Carries just 10-2, which should feel like a featherweight compared to last three runs of 10-12, 10-12, 11-4.

* Been running well on ground with cut, but has been crying out for good ground which he gets today – last three wins have come on good ground.

* Brilliant run over hurdles last time, enough to suggest that back over fences he’s going to run a big race.

* Has ran in this race once before and won. Giving him a 100% course record.

* Last two winning marks of 155 and 152 mean off 151 he should have a huge chance.

* McCain has had a cracking season and the 12-1 is huge.

* His run last time behind Five Dream is significant as that horse was rated 145 over hurdles. The fact he ran that horse to 2 1/2L over fences suggests his mark of 125 is a very winnable mark.

* Trainer John Quinn  has a 100% record in the race.

* Will appreciate the ground more than most.

£40 Description 2.20 Doncaster @ 9-1 Paddy Power b/o/g

£30 win Cloudy Lane 3.25 Doncaster @ 12-1 Ladbrokes

£30 win Folk Tune 5.10 Doncaster @ Best Morning Odds (should be around 8-1 or 9-1)

£20 e/w double Description and Cloudy Lane @ 8-1 + 10-1 Bet365 b/o/g

£20 e/w double Description and Folk Tune @ 9-1 + BMO Paddy Power b/o/g

£10 e/w treble On the three above @ 8-1+10-1+BMO Bet365 b/o/g

Premium Bet

* Rated as high as 131 over hurdles, runs here of 114 taking into account rider’s claim.

* Only four runs in NH career, open to improvement and although first run over fences stable will have him ready.

* Stable has had two runners in the last week one won, the other unseated when going really well three fences out.

* Stable noted for gambles and potential for huge price collapse.

Premium Bet

£20 win Shouldhavehadthat 4.00 Ludlow @ 10-1 Bet365

* Was entered in the Greatwood Gold Cup at Newbury on Saturday. Interesting that he comes here instead.

* Goes well after a break. He’s won three times after a decent break.

* Appreciates this better ground and has probably been kept asisde specifically for a good spring campaign.

*Nicky Henderson’s form in the last 14 days reads 40 runners, 11 winners, 9 seconds and 4 thirds.

* Still very lightly raced over fences and still open to improvement.

* Dropped 3lb for last run which helps and is used to carrying big weights.

Premium Bet

£40 win Bench Warrant 3.50 Leicester @ 2-1 Boylesports and VC

* Not often a 2-1 could be said to be value, but on most recent form should be favourite.

* Line through Burton Port makes Blazing Bailey over a stone inferior. Burton Port gave BB 10lb and beat him 16 1/2L. While Bench Warrant gave Burton Port 3lb and was beaten 13L!! The second that day, Massosoit received 7lb from Bench Warrant. That horse has went on to win since and then finish 3rd behind Monkerhostin in a very hot Sandown handicap (had Racing Post Chase winner Razor Royal behind that day).

* Goes in the ground and still lightly raced. Style of running should keep him out any danger.

£20 win Finmere 2.30 Hereford @ 8-1 Stan James b/o/g
£20 win Brierty 2.10 Wolverhampton @ 10-3 Stan James b/o/g
£10 double @ prices quoted

* Portman/Huxley combo landed a monster punt last week and look like they’re at it again today.

* V.Poor race and money queuing up on Betfair is significant in light of their last runner being punted off the boards.

* Still lightly-raced and dropped 10lb for poor run last time, suggesting a planned coup.

* By Glacial Storm so should go in the ground.

* Stable had just the one chase runner here in five years, so again significant they choose to come here and instigate a punt.

* Would have won last time if she’d been drawn in the first five stalls. Got stall 1 today and that should prove a big advantage.

* Won off a mark as high as 79 so 74 today is a winnable mark.

* Will see out the trip well as has been running over 6f and 7f this season. Drop down in trip also boosted by a record over 5f of 4 runs returning figures of 2 wins and a place.

* Still relatively lightly-raced (least exposed in the race) and open to improvement.

£30 win Benmore Boy 4.35 Fontwell @ 14-1 Sportingbet (12-1 Betfred)

* Won easily last time out on soft ground at Towcester, so goes on the ground.

* That win came at Towcester over 2m, so today’s extra 2f should be no problem at all and he should be one of the very few staying-on at the finish.

* Raised 10lb for that win, but still lightly raced and that was only his second run since December 2008. Have to think he won by more than the 10lb he’s been raised and could well progress again from here.

* 14-1 about a horse who won last time out in similar conditions who is racing against largely out of sort horses is huge.

* Henrietta Knight had just the one runner in the last week and that was Soixante (yes him!) who beat Wee Robbie yesterday.

Ollie Magern 3.05 Kempton

* Runs off his lowest ever mark, taking into account his rider’s claim, of 140.

* Massive chance on last year’s form when beaten by Nacarat in this race. On that occasion he was beaten 13L by Nacarat and he was giving him 3lb, making Nacarat in effect 10lb superior. That was off a mark of 154!!! Today Nacarat has to give him 12lb in effect making Ollie 2lb better off with Nacarat. And that was when Nacarat only had to carry 10-13, today he carries 11-8 (which in this ground will be very taxing).

* More importantly he’s one of the very few guaranteed stayers in the field. Most of these are 2m4f horses and although Kempton is a tight track, in this ground you’ll still have to be a stayer at the trip.

* He’s won on soft ground before.

* Stable has had 3 winners in the last week. Not on fire but cretainly ticking over nicely.

* Received 5lb and beaten just under 2 lengths by Deep Purple at Wetherby at the start of the season. That horse is now rated 166 over fences, theoretically putting Ollie in at 157 – putting theoretically 17b well-in here.

* Since then been mixing it with the big boys to no avail. This mark and these conditions against rivals unproven in conditions suggest a huge run is on the cards.

Wee Robbie 4.10 Kempton

* Ran very well against Denman, Niche MArket and Tricky Trickster at Newbury.

* Today’s mark of 120 is a definite winnable mark and go back to the his Cheltenham run when he fell, he was travelling really well when falling off a much higher mark.

* Goes in the ground and a huge price considering.

Suggested Bets:

£30 e/w Ollie Magern 3.05 Kempton @ 100-1 Ladbrokes and Stan James (66-1) generally (spread it around)

£30 e/w Wee Robbie 4.10 Kempton @ 10-1 Ladbrokes

£20 e/w double above two @ 100-1 and 10-1 @ Ladbrokes

£30 win Onceaponatime 5.40 Wolverhampton @ 8-1 Stan James b/o/g

* Been very progressive in the last 6 months.

* Latest 3rd when 6lb out of the handicap makes him well in here. That came off a mark of 81 over 7f at Southwell. Today he runs off 76 and over 6f on his more favoured aw surface. Has won off a mark of 80 so 76 is definitely a winnable mark.

* Will be finishing and the way this race is set up the winner will need to stay every inch of the trip.

* Has two course wins to his name.

* Is well drawn in stall 5.

£20 e/w Gunslinger 2.30 Huntingdon @ 14-1 Betfred/Blue Sq/888 Sport

*Finally conditions to suit! His first run on British soil came on bottomless ground at Nottingham on the flat where he got up in the final stride to win. Since then the ground has probably been against him.

* Also been racing against some more experienced types over hurdles and aware of the fact that he may have been lined up to get his handicap mark for a spring assault.

* Got a turn-of-foot in these conditions and should be able to creep around and then pounce late.

* If this were a flat handicap he’d be worse off with all bar one of his rivals today. Reckon he’s capable of a mark of around 120 over hurdles so this mark of 105 should be a winnable one.

£30 win Chief Dan George 3.40 Doncaster @ 7-1 Bet365 b/o/g

* Was entered in some very hot races last weekend, ground may have not been to his liking then but still very significant they come here instead.

* Comes alive at this time of year: 5 out of his 7 wins have come between February and March.

* Goes on the good-to-soft ground. Last 3 wins have come on ground with good somewhere in the title.

* Lightly-raced as a chaser and maybe the most fresh/progressive of these veterans at the moment.

* Rated as high as 155 over hurdles and runs off 136 over fences here. There’s room and potential improvement to suggest he has a winnable mark.

* James Moffatt has had just two runners in the last week. One finished 2nd of 13, the other finished 3rd of 14 (in a class 2 handicap). This suggests the Moffatt horses are in form.